Saturday, June 11, 2016

One more to go!

There will probably be just one more game this NBA season. Of course, Warrior fans are not complaining. They finally get an opportunity to win and celebrate at home. Despite the innumerable number of teams and championships in the Bay Area, the last team to clinch a championship at home was the A's in 1974. The A's did win one World Series against the SF Giants in 1989 who are also from the area, but the clinching game was technically on the road at the Stick in San Francisco. Super Bowls are always at neutral venues though the Niners won one in 1985 at Stanford Stadium, which is just a short drive from the Stick. Aside from those, the Giants and the Warriors have never clinched at home. The dubs should get it done Monday night, with or without Draymond, to wrap up this record-breaking season. It has been a magical season for the dubs fans and when a record-breaking season like this rolls around, the entire NBA fan base has something to follow and cheer for or against every day. It's been a fun season that way and we will all miss it starting Tuesday.

The Cavs are not really in the same league as the Warriors. Game 3 was an aberration as this Warriors team does have a tendency to not show up sometimes. And of course they lost by 30 as the Cavs came with a do or die mentality. The dubs looked more like themselves in game 4 at both ends of the floor and the result was predictably a win. Every time they lose, coach Kerr always blames it on the lack of ball movement and all the dubs players regurgitate the same theory in front of the media. Some talking heads have made fun of that theory by pointing out that a whole number of the dubs' successful possessions and game winners involve Curry dribbling and shooting - Curry's own version of hero ball.  But then a stretch like the 4th quarter in game 4 shows you how much the dubs move the ball and how fluid the offense is in contrast to the "stand around and watch Kyrie and LeBron  dribble" offense that the Cavs ran. The same was true with the Thunder in game 6 and 7 as their superstars resorted to hero ball when push came to shove.

Sure, Curry and even Klay have a green light to dribble and shoot anytime, but they do also generate a lot of those shots via ball and people movement. Kerr also makes this point that all that activity puts the team in the right rhythm even if it ends with Curry jacking up a 30-footer. Some people seem to miss that point. The dubs offense is more that just Curry dribbling and shooting and it's most evident when the bench is playing and scoring with relative ease. Kerr and staff deserve a lot of credit for implementing a system that showcases the splash brothers, but also works well for the others. Speaking of the Splash brothers, they actually were pretty mediocre in the finals until game 4 and the dubs still won the two home games thanks to their bench. They finally showed up in game 4. Curry seemed to me like he was still only at 85 to 90 % of his usual dominant self, but that was good enough to drop 38 points on the Cavs and impress. The game was close, but the dubs took control like they usually do in the second half and strangled the Cavs offense into submission. At least it was not a blowout like the previous 3 games in the series.

Blowouts have been one of the recurring themes of these playoffs since there have been too many of them. Teams routinely win by 30 at home and lose the next game on the road by 30 for a 60 point swing in 3 days! The only thing funnier than that is how the entire national media and so-called experts have been swinging back and forth wildly in their assessment of the series and teams with each of these games. Even the Warriors were looked at as being slightly suspect after game 3 despite them having proved them all wrong by coming back from 1-3 deficit against the Thunder. That series, which captured our collective imagination, was full of drama and twists and turns, but was also devoid of close games. There have been 10 games decided by 30 or more this playoffs equaling the total number from the last 3 seasons combined. My theory is, these blowouts are partly random happenstance and partly because of how today's game is played. Offenses are pretty explosive these days and powered by solid 3-point shooting. So if they get on a roll at home and the visiting team falls asleep for a bit, the game gets out of hand quick. A 15 point lead today is probably nothing more than a 7 point lead back in the 90's.

Speaking of the 90's, I was watching the 30-for-30 feature on Reggie Miller's heroics against the Knicks and I couldn't help but notice that almost every single game was decided by 2 or 3 points and every game seemed to be decided in the last minute. This years' playoffs show us that the game has indeed changed since then.

2 comments:

Magesh said...

It's shocking (to a lot of people) that this series isn't over yet but once Bogut went down the dubs had a serious size problem and just couldn't keep Bron and Kyrie out of the paint. That combined with a historic performance by said duo and lo and behold we have a Game 6. Many are expecting this series to go 7 now but I think the trend of Bay Area teams clinching titles on the road will continue with Curry & Co. winning Game 6 in Cleveland -- possibly with a nail-biting finish (one can hope). If this happens it would be the third time that Cleveland would lose the NBA championship at home (meaning that this would be the third time Cleveland fans would witness a championship trophy being presented in their own building rubbing salt in their wounds).

I agree that there have been far too many blowouts in this year's playoffs and your rationale for that makes a lot of sense. The faster pace and worse (or at least less physical) defense that teams in this era play make it harder to come back when you're behind. The only way to make a run is to shoot 3-pointers of your own which by definition are lower percentage shots (except for the dubs who actually shot better from distance in Game 4). It's rare to see games these days with bad-boy-Pistons style defense and the winning team only scoring 75 points. But I think most fans enjoy the faster pace so blowouts every once in a while might be a reasonable price to pay. Rule changes can shift playing styles quite a bit as well, so unless fans start enjoying good defense (hah!) this trend isn't going to be reversed any time soon (the lucrative TV deals teams are getting these days are also a major factor, I think). It also means more teams will try to emulate the dubs (in ways that include playing the game, coaching the game and scouting/acquiring talent) and we'll probably see more MVPs like Stephen Curry (unless Anthony Davis has something to say about that).

Interesting coincidence -- no Pittsburgh team had clinched their championship at home since 1960 and unfortunately for the Sharks, that trend continued this year with the Penguins winning the Stanley Cup in San Jose. Good season nonetheless for the boys in Teal but it may be a while before another opportunity like this presents itself. Bay Area fans have been spoiled for a while now but with the Warriors (most likely) winning their second NBA title and the Giants leading their division (in an even year!) things are still looking good for NorCal sports fans!

Good_Cynic said...

Well, we have a game 7 now and too much at stake in this one. Anthony Davis is a great name for future MVP awards, but he may have to contend wit Karl Anthony Towns :-)